Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eb567e30a6690d46464f3fa1693e3cb8ab74db891da5dd0f3447dc148675baa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 59c | 782.81$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.63 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 78c | 524.64$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 52c | 323.74$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0f80backed Yes | 75c | 240.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 8c | 210.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 28c | 165.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 9c | 165$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed No | 50c | 139.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 41c | 132.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 30c | 128.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 128$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 112$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed No | 40c | 91.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 26c | 89.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +109%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…23a6backed No | 30c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 81.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 27c | 68.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 44c | 53.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…a071backed Yes | 45c | 52.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 39c | 51.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…509cbacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 40c | 47.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 44.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef0a…6b52backed No | 78c | 40.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5aa6backed No | 45c | 39.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576e…f8e0backed No | 33c | 39.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…ab63backed Yes | 41c | 33.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 33.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 40c | 31.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 55c | 24.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 72c | 24.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed No | 62c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 66c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.