TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,967 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes1c14,971$102 inLost-$102.4642719.2%82 W · 345 L+23.3wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes4c9,947$426 inLost-$426.0321429.9%64 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes1c2,947$16 inLost-$16.225535.6%31 W · 522 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes2c2,345$55 inLost-$55.1951410.5%54 W · 460 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes2c1,530$28 inLost-$27.5325617.2%44 W · 212 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x813d…66a4backed Yes1c1,479$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes3c1,120$33 inLost-$32.618511.4%21 W · 164 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked Yes4c547.53$21 inLost-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes4c447.7$16 inLost-$16.3810216.7%17 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes29c345.36$100 inLost-$10010924.8%27 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes13c294$39 inLost-$39.2665623.2%152 W · 504 L+1.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes5c215.64$11 inLost-$10.576915.5%38 W · 653 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x213c…ab63backed Yes10c200.83$20 inLost-$20.072128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$10.44916.7%33 W · 458 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes12c184.85$22 inLost-$21.8640016.8%67 W · 333 L-0.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f5…d8a1backed Yes17c134.68$23 inLost-$22.513225%8 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost-$1236113.3%48 W · 313 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes14c97.42$14 inLost-$13.5934039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes21c79.84$17 inLost-$17.1479735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked Yes26c75.3$20 inLost-$19.595942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c4e…804cbacked Yes29c55$16 inLost-$15.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5235…1351backed Yes29c55$16 inLost-$15.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8c0…6beebacked Yes45c40.05$18 inLost-$18825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No73c32.12$23 inWon+$8.636030%18 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No66c30$20 inWon+$10.162864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No69c21.27$15 inWon+$6.6238848.5%188 W · 200 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.