TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,033 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7500…567fbacked Yes16c157.19$25 inLost-$24.5836113.3%48 W · 313 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe937…d46abacked No71c136.19$96 inWon+$40.082352.2%12 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick30cpaid+69.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes28c106$30 inLost-$29.6865623.2%152 W · 504 L+1.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d8…dfebbacked Yes71c96.71$69 inLost-$68.621030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba8…23a6backed No30c71$21 inWon+$49.72733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes32c69.32$22 inLost-$22.1276821.7%167 W · 601 L-2.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes51c61.75$31 inLost-$31.2521429.9%64 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No30c58.48$18 inWon+$40.86030%18 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked No72c49.26$35 inWon+$13.792657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No39c38$15 inWon+$23.2418358.5%107 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb98…0f80backed Yes79c25.38$20 inLost-$206241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes62c19.73$12 inLost-$12.3124732.4%80 W · 167 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2859…26d7backed Yes69c18.71$13 inLost-$131145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.