South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd33dbaf4a44f1869753a114463450f9e2053ebf128175a211f006acd1fb530bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,176$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.03 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 806.42$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 780.3$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 40c | 688.21$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 569.47$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.34 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Yes | 41c | 306.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 57c | 261.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 40c | 240.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 43c | 224.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 60c | 218.49$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 65c | 199.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 52c | 196.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 45c | 190.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 47c | 123.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Yes | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 52c | 59.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…fc97backed Yes | 41c | 47.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 58c | 46.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…51c7backed No | 48c | 42.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Yes | 52c | 39.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 61c | 37.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 43c | 34.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 51c | 33.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 47c | 28.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 52c | 27.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 61c | 21.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 55c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-2.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.