South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb9c6911c5d7336919320bffd159135c598adee2ce910fc71090e947997cb99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 0c | 10,695$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 60c | 8,090$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.77 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 3,795$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 2,465$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.44 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 904.43$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 481.79$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.93 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 68c | 415$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.8 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Under | 73c | 241.22$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Under | 42c | 214.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 23c | 177.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 70c | 124.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 43c | 111.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 59c | 94.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 27c | 65.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 70c | 50.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 36c | 38.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f0…dcb8backed Under | 58c | 31.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Under | 62c | 30.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 29.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)CA Sarmiento won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
- Spread: CA Sarmiento (-2.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.