Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4d1a169e024b4cabfadcec66901a594406c6337f2600fa1e00c65f20b0968a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alvesof Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, Lucas Andrade Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 9c | 3,407$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 22c | 368.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 9c | 228.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…6f02backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 9c | 146.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 19c | 121$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 22c | 119.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 9c | 117$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 20c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 62c | 49.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 67c | 44.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…557abacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 27c | 44.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…9919backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 38c | 42.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 62c | 17.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.