TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Diraiyah Saudi Clubof Al Ahli Saudi Club, Al Diraiyah Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,126 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club71c2,169$1,533 inWon+$636.155,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Al Ahli Saudi Club39c2,000$780 inLost-$78018353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Al Ahli Saudi Club42c400$168 inLost-$16821152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club64c390$250 inWon+$140.461,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club60c350.15$212 inWon+$138.62,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club38c328$125 inLost-$124.6493446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Al Ahli Saudi Club45c300$135 inLost-$135.4835751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Ahli Saudi Club39c230.73$91 inLost-$90.6842351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club55c207.05$114 inWon+$93.531,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Al Ahli Saudi Club40c200$80 inLost-$8015454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Al Diraiyah Saudi Club61c186.22$115 inWon+$71.734847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Ahli Saudi Club38c136$52 inLost-$51.681,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Al Ahli Saudi Club33c90.91$30 inLost-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Al Ahli Saudi Club38c80$30 inLost-$30.432654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Al Ahli Saudi Club38c80$30 inLost-$30.424061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club62c69.07$43 inWon+$26.3819556.9%111 W · 84 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Ahli Saudi Club43c66.44$29 inLost-$28.5774739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Al Ahli Saudi Club34c39.53$13 inLost-$13.4417247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club72c34.3$25 inWon+$9.7331960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club70c32.82$23 inWon+$102,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club69c27.28$19 inWon+$8.3725155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club69c27.27$19 inWon+$8.3737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Al Ahli Saudi Club49c20.6$10 inLost-$10.0917058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Al Diraiyah Saudi Club57c18.14$10 inWon+$7.810949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Al Diraiyah Saudi Club63c18$11 inWon+$6.6613644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Al Diraiyah Saudi Club75c15.76$12 inWon+$3.956460.9%39 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.