Asian League · resolved market
Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a546d0bf5e478599245a94af2fcb26755cc613b54e07f5138f2a2c0964f35a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 1,119$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 73c | 370.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 20c | 92.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 24c | 86.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 73c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 57.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Diraiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Diraiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.