Asian League · resolved market
Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3c9c2d2d1d71691d932dd53ce167571cda335cec65a204109dc4b8f00f110b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Over | 46c | 5,497$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Under | 54c | 3,863$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 54c | 2,079$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Over | 47c | 706.58$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 685.4$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.25 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 44c | 678.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.11 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 657.89$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 53c | 412.94$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…14cfbacked Over | 46c | 316.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 46c | 257.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 44c | 253$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 173$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 173$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 41c | 157.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 44c | 152$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 128.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 112.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Under | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 39c | 98.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 23c | 82.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 45c | 80.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 66.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 61c | 40.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2f…5438backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 46c | 36.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 44c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 78c | 31.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 45c | 27.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Under | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…e9f9backed Under | 56c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 20.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 20.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Diraiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Diraiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.