South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b64fdeb2da7eb42584393f30d8594399ee38ebbb5a28866445e121f9ca0fb8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 3,651$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.27 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed No | 58c | 3,437$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.03 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.05 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 1,387$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.62 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 40c | 1,137$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.77 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 45c | 803.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.69 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 43c | 802$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.86 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 42c | 681.82$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 669.9$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.66 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed No | 60c | 488.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 474.65$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 319.73$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 18c | 306.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 34c | 276.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 239.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 21c | 159.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed No | 60c | 124.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed No | 60c | 120.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 113$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 98.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed No | 59c | 84.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed No | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked No | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 25c | 76.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 42c | 70.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 50c | 49.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 73c | 47.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed No | 59c | 32.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed No | 60c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed No | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 32.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 29.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 27.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 58c | 27.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 41c | 26.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 21.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed No | 60c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 58c | 17.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.