Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yufei Ren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6ab84ea47a0763978b1f2880be57d9ef66d554fe813028e3f93621f91c1149
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonja Zhiyenbayevaof Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, Yufei Ren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yufei Ren | 10c | 12,679$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.86 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Yufei Ren | 12c | 3,005$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 69c | 2,648$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yufei Ren | 10c | 2,345$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.17 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 73c | 2,063$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.65 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 70c | 851.11$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.11 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 77c | 670.85$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yufei Ren | 11c | 385.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 72c | 309.43$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 45c | 301.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.05 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Yufei Ren | 52c | 287.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yufei Ren | 11c | 231.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Yufei Ren | 10c | 148.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 50c | 135.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yufei Ren | 11c | 126$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yufei Ren | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yufei Ren | 54c | 96.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 37c | 90.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 71c | 84.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yufei Ren | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 67c | 53.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yufei Ren | 26c | 50.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Yufei Ren | 28c | 47.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yufei Ren | 28c | 46.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 48c | 45.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Yufei Ren | 25c | 41.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 75c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 68c | 18.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 72c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Yufei Ren | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.