Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ae86b09bb663c7b3952d2b1825a0f42df42997fa90fca1b7ffeb75a7b0bec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filsof Fils, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8e5…905bbacked Etcheverry | 69c | 7,284$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fils | 44c | 1,990$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.15 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fils | 46c | 1,166$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.76 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Fils | 51c | 928.06$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Fils | 19c | 900$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Fils | 11c | 700$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +212%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Fils | 48c | 670.41$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.61 | 324 | 35.8%116 W · 208 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Fils | 45c | 593.09$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Fils | 12c | 581.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Etcheverry | 56c | 523.42$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.04 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Fils | 25c | 456.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.14 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Fils | 48c | 453.67$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Fils | 48c | 449.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.57 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Fils | 53c | 430.53$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Fils | 25c | 426$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.28 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Fils | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Etcheverry | 53c | 293$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fils | 47c | 283.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Etcheverry | 54c | 270.27$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Fils | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Fils | 24c | 266$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Fils | 24c | 266$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Fils | 29c | 266$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Fils | 51c | 252.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Fils | 47c | 242.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Fils | 25c | 213$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Etcheverry | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Fils | 26c | 191.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Etcheverry | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Etcheverry | 53c | 181.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Fils | 50c | 165.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Etcheverry | 54c | 165.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 275 | 67.3%185 W · 90 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…9b4bbacked Fils | 45c | 141.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Fils | 50c | 126.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Fils | 48c | 109.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Fils | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Etcheverry | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 351 | 39.6%139 W · 212 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Fils | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Etcheverry | 48c | 95.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Fils | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Fils | 44c | 76.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fils | 46c | 65.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fils | 48c | 62.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Etcheverry | 55c | 59.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Fils | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Etcheverry | 46c | 48.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Fils | 51c | 41.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Etcheverry | 49c | 37.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 726 | 61.8%449 W · 277 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Etcheverry | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Fils | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Etcheverry | 49c | 22.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)this page
- Etcheverry vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Etcheverry vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Etcheverry vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils won
- Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs FilsFils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.