TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Shymkent 2: Vladyslav Orlov vs Mili Poljicak

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mili Poljicakof Vladyslav Orlov, Mili Poljicak
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Mili Poljicak65c6,118$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.361,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Vladyslav Orlov67c2,880$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.453655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Vladyslav Orlov15c2,355$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.463417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Mili Poljicak73c1,345$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.342,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Vladyslav Orlov21c1,312$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.434,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Vladyslav Orlov9c1,300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Vladyslav Orlov19c1,287$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4827733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Vladyslav Orlov17c1,244$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8438013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf115…ad6bbacked Vladyslav Orlov11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Mili Poljicak71c966.13$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1784736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Vladyslav Orlov12c808.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.71,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vladyslav Orlov31c759.53$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.159,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Vladyslav Orlov34c745.66$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5221451.4%110 W · 104 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ae…0df4backed Vladyslav Orlov75c745.34$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.212045%9 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vladyslav Orlov34c737.37$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1654345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mili Poljicak57c735.11$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.873,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Vladyslav Orlov15c624.58$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9135436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Mili Poljicak65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17531736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Mili Poljicak30c475.49$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.931,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Vladyslav Orlov33c439.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.062,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mili Poljicak66c435.22$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.74,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Mili Poljicak77c434.54$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1956754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Mili Poljicak79c423.06$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.729754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Mili Poljicak71c412.4$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.927749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Mili Poljicak75c338.71$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.574,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Vladyslav Orlov24c334.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6640548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Vladyslav Orlov35c317.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0215337.9%58 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Vladyslav Orlov10c285.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.84,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed Vladyslav Orlov34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0410057%57 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Mili Poljicak37c269.56$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5628833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Vladyslav Orlov19c250.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5736349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Mili Poljicak39c231.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.781,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Mili Poljicak31c202.46$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.752552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Vladyslav Orlov29c199.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.634,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Mili Poljicak59c195$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9552341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mili Poljicak75c192.22$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.322,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Mili Poljicak75c189.1$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Mili Poljicak31c177.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7319657.1%112 W · 84 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Mili Poljicak79c157.34$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.361,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Mili Poljicak75c138.73$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9255360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Mili Poljicak69c130.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3656070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Vladyslav Orlov30c127.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.327047.1%33 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Vladyslav Orlov22c120.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8235032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Vladyslav Orlov10c117.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.933349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Vladyslav Orlov33c116.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2765346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mili Poljicak63c115$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.734,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Mili Poljicak30c106.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.842,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Mili Poljicak66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3439941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Vladyslav Orlov15c97.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Vladyslav Orlov13c96.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.291,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Mili Poljicak30c96.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3814851.4%76 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Vladyslav Orlov13c91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8346040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Vladyslav Orlov19c90.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3756817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vladyslav Orlov19c90.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.176,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ab…9b4bbacked Mili Poljicak74c87.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.713063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Vladyslav Orlov33c87.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7913458.2%78 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Mili Poljicak66c86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5418132.6%59 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Mili Poljicak66c86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5469438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Mili Poljicak71c83.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.421,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Mili Poljicak75c81.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.351,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Vladyslav Orlov21c74.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.659322.6%21 W · 72 L-13.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-61.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Vladyslav Orlov24c73.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.713,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6517…573fbacked Mili Poljicak67c72.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.981442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Vladyslav Orlov33c72.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mili Poljicak72c70.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.886,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Mili Poljicak73c68.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.467548%36 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Mili Poljicak58c65.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.211,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Vladyslav Orlov32c63.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mili Poljicak60c62.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.433,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Mili Poljicak77c59.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1491880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Mili Poljicak33c58.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9727147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mili Poljicak30c53.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.186,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Vladyslav Orlov45c52.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8525245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a6…5270backed Vladyslav Orlov34c48.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Vladyslav Orlov47c48.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7531366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mili Poljicak78c47.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.435,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Mili Poljicak66c43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7725737%95 W · 162 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Mili Poljicak71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.624632.9%81 W · 165 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Mili Poljicak72c39.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0188273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Mili Poljicak74c29.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7741850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Mili Poljicak77c25.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9423073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x504b…b939backed Mili Poljicak74c25.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.616048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x003a…489bbacked Mili Poljicak73c22.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Mili Poljicak70c22.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5948235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Mili Poljicak71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.829039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Mili Poljicak71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.845235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdad…71eebacked Mili Poljicak67c19.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Mili Poljicak72c17.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0464358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.