Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec872409752b6e3ed540bc371b4d96a9a7bba079e8fd02126bac4d28ead1abf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 24c | 986.93$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 752.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 11c | 366.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 363.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 76c | 322.07$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 299.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 21c | 293.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 283.93$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 17c | 213.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 197.18$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 136$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 111.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 79c | 103.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 79c | 103.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 79c | 103.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 53.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 50.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 23c | 45.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 77c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 78c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?No won
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.