South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x313720a958d292ef4913761b501b704f437b0b19c4272b9e0b92030f00a6060c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,599$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.6 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 36c | 1,344$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.92 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 47c | 1,331$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.94 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 1,049$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.3 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 582.74$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 62c | 404.01$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.13 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 344.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 71c | 211.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 55c | 176.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 147.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 63c | 131.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…7078backed Over | 76c | 129.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 65c | 123.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 64c | 123.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 62c | 122.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 121.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 117.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 116.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 38c | 110.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Over | 49c | 103.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 63c | 82.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 64c | 81.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 58c | 80.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 58c | 68.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 56c | 57.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 28c | 57.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 36c | 55.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 64c | 52.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 35c | 51.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 55c | 49.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 55c | 48.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 66c | 48.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Over | 53c | 47.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 28c | 39.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 28c | 39.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 55c | 37.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…90fdbacked Over | 64c | 36.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 65c | 29.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 29.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 48c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.