Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2359200ba71da45c98b2ead7d8fe4b6eeeaac307e97bc019dc03b6c3f87030d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniuses Academyof Evil Geniuses Academy, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 32c | 1,405$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.62 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 1,280$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.41 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…6ba2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 1,142$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 26c | 1,107$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…3cd7backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 74c | 993.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 38c | 991.17$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.67 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…804ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 53c | 735.13$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 35c | 631.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.42 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 64c | 629.2$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.89 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 43c | 603.85$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.35 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 471.22$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 33c | 325.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 47c | 295.84$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…586bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 37c | 289.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 65c | 271.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 26c | 270.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 36c | 262.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 64c | 234.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 46c | 233.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 47c | 219.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 72c | 204.82$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 65c | 204.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 53c | 169.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 66c | 160.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 143.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 76c | 140.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 32c | 118.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 33c | 92.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 65c | 91.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 25c | 86.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 82.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…f21dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 39c | 80.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 77.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…66bfbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 65c | 75.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 55c | 74.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 46c | 73.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 73.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…254abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 73.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 29c | 60.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 53.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…5f4abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 27c | 49.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 69c | 44.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…d4c9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 29c | 37.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…aab7backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 35c | 36.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 73c | 35.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 34.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…7f85backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 66c | 29.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 60c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.