CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c935b13dc437210729b285e9b4fa038b005862bf32e7dd85c6fde574e16d3d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Favbet, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b45…1a0abacked Favbet | 19c | 1,020$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Favbet | 14c | 873.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 75c | 651.67$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Favbet | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Favbet | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 53c | 269.29$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…316ebacked Favbet | 56c | 248.48$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 15c | 222.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed Lavked | 51c | 191.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 80c | 130.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Favbet | 39c | 129.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Favbet | 40c | 114.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Favbet | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Favbet | 49c | 57.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Lavked | 76c | 55.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Lavked | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Favbet | 40c | 49.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…2914backed Favbet | 27c | 47.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Lavked | 59c | 41.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Lavked | 44c | 41.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Lavked | 60c | 38.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed Lavked | 80c | 36.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lavked | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Lavked | 70c | 31.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Favbet | 55c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Lavked | 54c | 27.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Lavked | 75c | 19.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageFavbet won
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.