Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc7de579ff5dfa43117ebc683ee7020bd517e0fd8291083101df598a2c9d51ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 52c | 20,393$10,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,604.39 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 49c | 8,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 51c | 5,269$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.3 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 2,766$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.86 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 53c | 2,327$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.08 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 52c | 1,875$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.17 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 49c | 1,829$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.57 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,332$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 1,200$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.25 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 51c | 981.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.37 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 52c | 650$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 48c | 630$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.6 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 604.15$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.55 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 38c | 395.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 262.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 259.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6ad9backed Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 216$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 198.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 52c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…d35bbacked No | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 46c | 130.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 38c | 96.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…825cbacked No | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…a838backed Yes | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…5c68backed Yes | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 38c | 53.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 54c | 46.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 45.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f3…5a90backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 53c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 51c | 35.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333c…7856backed Yes | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 48c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-26?No won
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.