TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Savannah: J.J. Wolf vs Thomas Faurel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
J.J. Wolfof J.J. Wolf, Thomas Faurel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Thomas Faurel14c11,944$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.999,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed J.J. Wolf74c8,740$6,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.198,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thomas Faurel12c6,697$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.957,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Thomas Faurel34c5,649$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.8179855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thomas Faurel11c4,701$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.852,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Thomas Faurel22c3,969$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.199250%46 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed J.J. Wolf78c2,820$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.184067.5%27 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Thomas Faurel17c2,784$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.8911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Thomas Faurel8c2,275$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.381,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed J.J. Wolf70c2,061$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.613,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Thomas Faurel32c1,372$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.439452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed J.J. Wolf68c1,323$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.7115948.4%77 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Thomas Faurel17c1,317$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9798841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed J.J. Wolf68c1,315$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.652552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61c…9ad2backed Thomas Faurel33c1,287$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.641241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Thomas Faurel33c1,265$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4658232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Thomas Faurel17c1,108$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.729533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Thomas Faurel32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32060856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed J.J. Wolf68c974.31$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed J.J. Wolf67c947.93$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8256757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ca…4ac0backed J.J. Wolf67c939.31$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.978461.9%52 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked J.J. Wolf67c898.84$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.624763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Thomas Faurel18c846.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6438013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked J.J. Wolf74c772.74$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7321767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed J.J. Wolf64c650$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.54,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed J.J. Wolf68c645.69$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.291,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed J.J. Wolf75c626.94$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.751,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Thomas Faurel32c600.34$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.831,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Thomas Faurel33c581.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9629444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Thomas Faurel18c547.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.685,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Thomas Faurel19c390.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.859240.2%37 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Thomas Faurel32c383.68$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7832851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed J.J. Wolf67c328.15$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.291,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Thomas Faurel32c307.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5386647.9%415 W · 451 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed J.J. Wolf68c302.43$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.647,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Thomas Faurel34c296.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1315436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed J.J. Wolf69c285.71$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4629553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Thomas Faurel6c280.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0984736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8e…7a62backed J.J. Wolf73c266.03$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed J.J. Wolf66c260.35$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4693048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed J.J. Wolf68c226.76$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3918447.3%87 W · 97 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Thomas Faurel6c215.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5756927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed J.J. Wolf68c211.42$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.659149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed J.J. Wolf73c198.12$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.639,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Thomas Faurel33c191.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3534549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Thomas Faurel14c179.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.173549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Thomas Faurel32c178.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5742344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Thomas Faurel10c174$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9513850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked J.J. Wolf67c167.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2432247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Thomas Faurel12c161.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9338522.3%86 W · 299 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Thomas Faurel32c157.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8219762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed J.J. Wolf67c152.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.243253.1%17 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed J.J. Wolf66c151.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.61,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked J.J. Wolf67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Thomas Faurel14c135.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9781933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Thomas Faurel15c134.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9657953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b9…b193backed J.J. Wolf67c129.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2925862.4%161 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked J.J. Wolf77c129$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.672,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed J.J. Wolf66c123.12$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8633851.2%173 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Thomas Faurel30c117.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1258734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked J.J. Wolf77c100.18$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7760355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked J.J. Wolf67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3313450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Thomas Faurel32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Thomas Faurel33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3338741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed J.J. Wolf70c98.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4635360.9%215 W · 138 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Thomas Faurel15c96.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4474346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Thomas Faurel34c96.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6524547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed J.J. Wolf70c91.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.481956.9%466 W · 353 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed J.J. Wolf70c91.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.482055%451 W · 369 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed J.J. Wolf77c75.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.795050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed J.J. Wolf67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed J.J. Wolf80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed J.J. Wolf67c72.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8539534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed J.J. Wolf69c68.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3457267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed J.J. Wolf72c68.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2551347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed J.J. Wolf74c66.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed J.J. Wolf69c64.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9970456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed J.J. Wolf66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Thomas Faurel32c59.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1918258.8%107 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed J.J. Wolf70c58.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6864358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed J.J. Wolf80c56.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57e0…3878backed Thomas Faurel33c55.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.236842.6%29 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked J.J. Wolf80c51.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.338754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Thomas Faurel29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.529241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Thomas Faurel33c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3325745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Thomas Faurel30c49.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.973,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked J.J. Wolf80c46.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.581,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300a…40d3backed J.J. Wolf75c45.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4911469.3%79 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked J.J. Wolf67c43.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed J.J. Wolf68c43.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.919650%48 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed J.J. Wolf76c39.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5112457.3%71 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Thomas Faurel31c38.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.933,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed J.J. Wolf67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0731463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed J.J. Wolf69c35.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0241668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked J.J. Wolf68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.211945.4%54 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Thomas Faurel33c34.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5220764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked J.J. Wolf79c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5125366.8%169 W · 84 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed J.J. Wolf67c29.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7136244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed J.J. Wolf80c29.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.848072.5%58 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked J.J. Wolf69c28.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8272651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.