IPO · resolved market
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb571a7ed22becbb402e94785f1c8c3f9687e549c42286f01ab30536722d0c584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes | 1c | 36,234$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.89 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 2c | 11,875$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,626$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b09…f612backed Yes | 3c | 2,997$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…5965backed Yes | 3c | 2,974$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…cb91backed Yes | 3c | 2,948$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…89bcbacked Yes | 3c | 2,686$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…1c73backed Yes | 3c | 2,427$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…3181backed Yes | 3c | 2,373$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…984ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,316$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52db…1d1cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,234$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…2770backed Yes | 3c | 2,210$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…4a9dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,208$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…64b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,933$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19debacked Yes | 3c | 1,864$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…364bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,775$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…11c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,773$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fc…915ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,719$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…b1cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,652$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf253…c147backed Yes | 3c | 1,544$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…3702backed Yes | 3c | 1,525$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…9c50backed Yes | 2c | 1,513$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…d9cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,480$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…da17backed Yes | 3c | 1,453$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fb…fd62backed Yes | 3c | 1,441$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…e41abacked Yes | 3c | 1,437$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…767fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,407$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…d156backed Yes | 3c | 1,396$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…7833backed Yes | 3c | 1,392$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 3c | 1,386$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…d2eebacked Yes | 2c | 1,385$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d5…dd66backed Yes | 3c | 1,364$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…f8b1backed Yes | 3c | 1,356$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…b74abacked Yes | 3c | 1,335$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0572…e5b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,321$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…b633backed Yes | 4c | 1,312$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…5734backed Yes | 3c | 1,289$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57db…66a0backed Yes | 3c | 1,191$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…d5d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,181$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…12d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,152$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…b80ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,091$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…6b99backed Yes | 3c | 1,078$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8de…e902backed Yes | 3c | 1,075$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ec…543ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,070$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…0071backed Yes | 3c | 1,048$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…1c9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,046$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f5…732ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,034$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd126…38d1backed Yes | 3c | 1,023$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f088backed Yes | 3c | 1,021$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…2628backed Yes | 3c | 1,020$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…b5cbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,012$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe147…8ac6backed Yes | 3c | 1,009$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…73a3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 3c | 995$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed Yes | 4c | 983.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…52a7backed Yes | 2c | 982$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157d…62cfbacked Yes | 3c | 981$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…fd1fbacked Yes | 3c | 964$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…3c15backed Yes | 3c | 962$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…1ab6backed Yes | 4c | 944$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…f623backed Yes | 3c | 920$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…4785backed Yes | 2c | 920$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…3e12backed Yes | 3c | 916$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb395…66aebacked Yes | 3c | 911$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9a…b10fbacked Yes | 3c | 894$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b1…a731backed Yes | 3c | 893$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…97a3backed Yes | 3c | 867$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0810…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 849$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…a7bebacked Yes | 3c | 811$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…cd9ebacked Yes | 4c | 804$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…088fbacked Yes | 3c | 766$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…11cbbacked Yes | 3c | 734$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 731.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cd…1650backed Yes | 5c | 723.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…38adbacked Yes | 3c | 718$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…e32bbacked Yes | 3c | 711$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dad…0755backed Yes | 3c | 710$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…41bfbacked Yes | 3c | 698$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…df64backed Yes | 3c | 679$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0b…3d79backed Yes | 2c | 668$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 664.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…6504backed Yes | 3c | 662$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8125…c698backed Yes | 3c | 658$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…8168backed Yes | 2c | 653$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…28ffbacked Yes | 3c | 641$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…3731backed Yes | 3c | 618$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7092…d4b5backed Yes | 3c | 618$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…473cbacked Yes | 3c | 597$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…32a1backed Yes | 3c | 591$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…d540backed Yes | 3c | 586$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…48dbbacked Yes | 3c | 570$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…5d1abacked Yes | 2c | 565$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…9781backed Yes | 3c | 560$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f7…6062backed Yes | 3c | 557$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…539dbacked Yes | 3c | 557$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 3c | 551.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fae…7b03backed Yes | 3c | 549$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?this page
- Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes won
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.