CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5873d9633a7a02f2023cc4652963e3db9649fb677207f0df671073cb4a66b013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Fake do Biru | 65c | 2,394$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.82 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…aee3backed Fake do Biru | 79c | 743.32$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Game Hunters | 8c | 460.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Game Hunters | 18c | 256.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fake do Biru | 77c | 252$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Fake do Biru | 58c | 243.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Game Hunters | 37c | 242.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Fake do Biru | 62c | 237.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…a1afbacked Game Hunters | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Game Hunters | 29c | 206.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Game Hunters | 42c | 189.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Game Hunters | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 79c | 146.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Game Hunters | 34c | 139.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Fake do Biru | 62c | 128.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fake do Biru | 73c | 120.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 117.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Game Hunters | 35c | 110.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Game Hunters | 21c | 104.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Game Hunters | 17c | 95.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Game Hunters | 17c | 95.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Game Hunters | 20c | 84.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Game Hunters | 17c | 80.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Game Hunters | 19c | 77.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Game Hunters | 38c | 61.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Game Hunters | 24c | 60.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Game Hunters | 18c | 58.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Game Hunters | 21c | 57.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Game Hunters | 21c | 53.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Game Hunters | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Fake do Biru | 77c | 48.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Fake do Biru | 63c | 31.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…b905backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 29.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Fake do Biru | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 2 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.