CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13bac9cd91602744f54ea3d74db97a9f0665ff5e65547fbfa7055eff7db5909d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fake do Biru | 78c | 7,955$6,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.66 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Game Hunters | 17c | 6,489$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.23 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 69c | 1,250$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Game Hunters | 35c | 1,039$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.48 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 64c | 969.48$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fake do Biru | 62c | 675.14$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.73 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Game Hunters | 34c | 665.9$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Fake do Biru | 78c | 543.83$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Game Hunters | 27c | 524.02$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Game Hunters | 31c | 479.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Game Hunters | 39c | 396.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Game Hunters | 34c | 316.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Game Hunters | 31c | 287.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Game Hunters | 40c | 266.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…aee3backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 229.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Fake do Biru | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Game Hunters | 36c | 165.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Game Hunters | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Game Hunters | 37c | 140.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 127.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Fake do Biru | 72c | 127.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…c07cbacked Game Hunters | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 102.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Game Hunters | 22c | 99.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fake do Biru | 65c | 94.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Game Hunters | 26c | 86.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 68.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Game Hunters | 37c | 62.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Fake do Biru | 67c | 56.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…f7b7backed Game Hunters | 23c | 51.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 49.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fake do Biru | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Fake do Biru | 78c | 37.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 28.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 61cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bfdcbacked Fake do Biru | 71c | 27.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Fake do Biru | 78c | 18.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.