IPO · resolved market
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9978c0f6c5616ed400110c1dccac9260bdbfa09ebc96048ea8498daa9e7f39e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 62c | 3,293$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.45 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 9c | 2,693$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 48c | 1,216$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.13 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 28c | 711.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 23c | 636.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 80c | 549.49$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…bbc1backed No | 62c | 480.76$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 5c | 424.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 29c | 404.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 39c | 330.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…14d6backed Yes | 36c | 284.64$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 59c | 264.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…f209backed No | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 9c | 235.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 11c | 213.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 43c | 213.27$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 201.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…f132backed Yes | 39c | 190.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 18c | 139.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -16.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…98ebbacked No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Yes | 36c | 114.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 112$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 127 | 4.7%6 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…9e1bbacked Yes | 39c | 110.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…1245backed No | 62c | 104.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…2a39backed No | 60c | 100.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed No | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked No | 61c | 94.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 13c | 84.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked No | 62c | 78.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 62c | 77.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f19fbacked No | 61c | 72.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 25c | 72.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf317…b67bbacked Yes | 59c | 57.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 62c | 57.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 22c | 56.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f52…9fbabacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…35bfbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 63c | 48.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Yes | 39c | 47.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 33c | 44.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb247…7a27backed Yes | 70c | 23.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed No | 63c | 21.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…33e2backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?this page
- Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $130M and $150M at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.