Fifa International · resolved market
Will Algeria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a06a1e314390ba57eef251651b6280a468c59e20b32e960519c053d4086a6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 76c | 10,299$7,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.79 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 24c | 10,067$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.11 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 76c | 398.54$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 311.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 17c | 207.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 62c | 196.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 23c | 150.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 64c | 131.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 25c | 131.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 130.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f2…54dcbacked Yes | 37c | 123$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…18f6backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 101.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 96.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed No | 45c | 93.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 25c | 85.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 75c | 84.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 34c | 83.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 76c | 81.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 16c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Yes | 64c | 76.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…4256backed No | 63c | 71.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…b747backed Yes | 26c | 56.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 50.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 62c | 47.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 75c | 46.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 75c | 41.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…3679backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…64e0backed No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7a7bbacked Yes | 53c | 22.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 76c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 55c | 18.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 70c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 69c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Algeria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Argentina finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Austria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes won
- Will Jordan finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.