Premier League · resolved market
Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76591028a7504263cf634b5e557c29c3d7058acd98e9988bd5716626efd16277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 25c | 481.24$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 11c | 481.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 8c | 242.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 56c | 155.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 10c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Yes | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…c439backed Yes | 30c | 64.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 70c | 58.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…fcc4backed Yes | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…a227backed Yes | 68c | 44.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…60babacked No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 71c | 38.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?this page
- Will Andoni Iraola be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will Cesc Fabregas be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will Edin Terzic be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will Erik ten Hag be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will Filipe Luis be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will Frank Lampard be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will José Mourinho be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will Julian Nagelsmann be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will Marco Silva be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will Ruben Amorim be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
- Will Xavi Hernandez be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.