Lol · resolved market
LoL: Gentle Mates vs Verdant (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d2f4873fefe6d8ec07f275c5202e829cc3122b60b0d065f723b786375cbcdef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof Gentle Mates, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Verdant | 22c | 4,727$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.43 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 2,232$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.79 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 2,182$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.8 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Gentle Mates | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Verdant | 30c | 1,875$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.26 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Verdant | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Gentle Mates | 9c | 1,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Gentle Mates | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Verdant | 65c | 1,000$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.97 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Verdant | 19c | 805$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.05 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Verdant | 20c | 505.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.36 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 457$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.35 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Verdant | 19c | 423$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.63 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Verdant | 21c | 194.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Verdant | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Verdant | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Verdant | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Verdant | 28c | 76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Gentle Mates | 76c | 44.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.