CS2 · resolved market
Valorant: BLG vs MIBR
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x741879f95bad5029d7838ee78193c8d6468521ad9b6cd3bf4fb134a902d5c199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof BLG, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x988d…9899backed BLG | 64c | 6,101$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.92 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed MIBR | 36c | 5,496$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.16 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MIBR | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MIBR | 39c | 1,059$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.6 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed BLG | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed MIBR | 60c | 688.65$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.44 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked BLG | 64c | 511$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.79 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BLG | 47c | 379.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed MIBR | 40c | 300$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked BLG | 45c | 264.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed BLG | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed BLG | 64c | 156.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MIBR | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BLG | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BLG | 40c | 75.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed MIBR | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed BLG | 29c | 68.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked BLG | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed BLG | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed MIBR | 37c | 34.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked BLG | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked BLG | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked MIBR | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.