Lol · resolved market
LoL: Veni Vidi Vici vs Galions (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5504defbfe5c10d679cd8420c1251771c8451ebe158f44686d00700df6d018e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Veni Vidi Vici, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Veni Vidi Vici | 19c | 4,193$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.97 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Galions | 73c | 1,890$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.43 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Veni Vidi Vici | 28c | 1,160$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Veni Vidi Vici | 26c | 966$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.16 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Galions | 71c | 836$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Veni Vidi Vici | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Veni Vidi Vici | 26c | 198.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Veni Vidi Vici | 26c | 92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Veni Vidi Vici | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Galions | 63c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Veni Vidi Vici | 37c | 67.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…e927backed Galions | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Galions | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Galions | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.