Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x587a63030fc44f48e1b960af95d7ce4d9d6ce9db74bfa50b61f28d1f121512f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof Panathinaikos, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monaco | 22c | 8,298$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.8 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Panathinaikos | 78c | 5,723$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Monaco | 19c | 3,354$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Monaco | 19c | 2,562$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Monaco | 19c | 2,341$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Monaco | 8c | 1,940$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 1,921$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.87 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Monaco | 21c | 1,071$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Monaco | 19c | 1,017$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Panathinaikos | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Panathinaikos | 76c | 982.82$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.26 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Monaco | 8c | 969.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Monaco | 19c | 951.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…6199backed Monaco | 22c | 782.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed Monaco | 24c | 753.14$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Panathinaikos | 78c | 737.58$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…a27dbacked Monaco | 26c | 733.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1582…e47ebacked Monaco | 25c | 699.23$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Panathinaikos | 78c | 555$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Monaco | 28c | 499.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Panathinaikos | 76c | 476.97$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Monaco | 22c | 447.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Monaco | 19c | 406.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Monaco | 13c | 404.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Monaco | 24c | 395.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monaco | 11c | 388.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Monaco | 25c | 376.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Monaco | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Monaco | 23c | 313.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Monaco | 9c | 258.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Panathinaikos | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Monaco | 14c | 231$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Monaco | 19c | 224.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Monaco | 24c | 195.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Panathinaikos | 80c | 175.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Panathinaikos | 77c | 168$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Monaco | 21c | 153.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Monaco | 9c | 122.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Monaco | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monaco | 29c | 96.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Monaco | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Monaco | 19c | 88.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Panathinaikos | 78c | 75.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Monaco | 17c | 73.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Panathinaikos | 73c | 68.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Monaco | 24c | 67.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Monaco | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9123…cefbbacked Monaco | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Monaco | 27c | 63.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 62.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Monaco | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 38.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Panathinaikos | 77c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d0…350abacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 14.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…897dbacked Panathinaikos | 80c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Panathinaikos | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.