Fifa International · resolved market
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea82367ee44b6459c08b1258dc2579197346d2bebbfed845b2b4fbcab067947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x771a…934fbacked Under | 28c | 7,324$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,273.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…708ebacked Over | 72c | 4,624$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…addfbacked Over | 72c | 2,700$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 72c | 1,488$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.74 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 1,201$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.57 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 27c | 1,135$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.73 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 38c | 936.92$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.56 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 64c | 900.04$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.37 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 72c | 848$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.56 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 6c | 665$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 71c | 569.17$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.56 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 41c | 490.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.67 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 75c | 409.37$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.22 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…6d50backed Under | 36c | 398.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.76 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 73c | 356.97$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 282$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 21c | 279$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.41 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Under | 33c | 276.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.39 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 40c | 254.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 78c | 181.8$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 60c | 141.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 52c | 135.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 25c | 132.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 57c | 121.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 65c | 116.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 32c | 95.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 29c | 79.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 73c | 77.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 78c | 75.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 78c | 66.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 68c | 58.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 67c | 57.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 53c | 56.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 42c | 56.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 43c | 56.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 27c | 54.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…2777backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 52.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Under | 29c | 50.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Under | 40c | 49.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Under | 55c | 46.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…9526backed Over | 70c | 46.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 27c | 43.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 37c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 38c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Over | 73c | 39.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 31.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5this page
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 1.5Over won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5Over won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5Under won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Russia (-2.5)Russia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.