Fifa International · resolved market
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x285c533b12e204a96a5bec155dd126271a3bf192d057add10597a12e4135b5db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 57c | 6,469$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.54 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 43c | 3,648$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.44 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 55c | 2,298$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 1,859$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.43 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 42c | 1,450$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.43 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 54c | 1,095$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.49 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 1,090$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.98 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 39c | 800$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.38 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 45c | 734.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.73 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Under | 43c | 674.42$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 57c | 654.51$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.02 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 637.06$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.79 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 38c | 624.59$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.71 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 623.69$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.08 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 12c | 607.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.48 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 51c | 541.93$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 52c | 500.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.58 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 39c | 489.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 57c | 487.45$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.85 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 45c | 436.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 55c | 414$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 53c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…c1c2backed Under | 75c | 398.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 378.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 35c | 344.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 43c | 335.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.17 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 61c | 308.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 61c | 292$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 64c | 222.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 53c | 215.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Over | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Over | 64c | 156.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 19c | 124.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Under | 45c | 109.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 50c | 108.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Under | 60c | 108.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 62c | 87.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…9526backed Under | 36c | 82.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 47c | 64.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 47c | 63.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…8aabbacked Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Under | 70c | 46.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 39c | 43.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Under | 48c | 41.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 39c | 29.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 61c | 29.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 75c | 25.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5this page
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 1.5Over won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5Over won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5Under won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Russia (-2.5)Russia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.