Fifa International · resolved market
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba7ed2fc8d36ed3acef5f0867cf911ee426d84ac72502b66863771daa561e11d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x905a…dff1backed Under | 80c | 2,500$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 2,405$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.11 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Over | 20c | 1,757$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 63c | 1,466$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 1,187$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 69c | 720.98$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.9 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 20c | 650.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Over | 31c | 576.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 37c | 481.58$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…592abacked Under | 69c | 431.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 36c | 431.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 66c | 428.21$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 33c | 332.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Under | 64c | 313.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 21c | 306.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 37c | 299.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 66c | 247.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 60c | 189.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 63c | 158.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 16c | 153.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…9150backed Under | 71c | 126.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 63c | 112.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 78c | 102.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 76c | 97.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…43b4backed Under | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 64c | 73.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 62.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 74c | 49.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 68c | 42.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 24c | 41.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 67c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 38c | 28.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 74c | 24.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Under | 66c | 17.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5this page
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 1.5Over won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5Over won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5Under won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Russia (-2.5)Russia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.