Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Russia (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffb7ce061eceb7f18f1fbf5818acf81022caf8a0b658f4019cc729431c7fb5e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Russiaof Russia, Trinidad and Tobago
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Trinidad and Tobago | 36c | 1,117$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.46 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Trinidad and Tobago | 25c | 886.65$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.51 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Russia | 75c | 534.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Russia | 62c | 423$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Russia | 62c | 422.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Trinidad and Tobago | 32c | 386.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…a383backed Russia | 67c | 296.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Russia | 69c | 292.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Russia | 76c | 285.66$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Trinidad and Tobago | 40c | 266.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Trinidad and Tobago | 22c | 221$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Russia | 67c | 178.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Russia | 60c | 165.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Russia | 69c | 115.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Trinidad and Tobago | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Russia | 69c | 93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Russia | 64c | 89.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Russia | 73c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Trinidad and Tobago | 36c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Russia | 60c | 58.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Trinidad and Tobago | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Russia | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Trinidad and Tobago | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Russia | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Russia | 74c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Russia (-2.5)this page
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 1.5Over won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5Over won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5Under won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5Under won
- Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.