Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf34a7e433ada343a56d023d7efaedb65db54e07d49d6ede4b2391e9e349cd9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,605$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 1,270$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.08 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 932.89$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 39c | 759$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 37c | 329$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 325.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 250.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 221.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.36 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 214.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 80c | 205.11$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 78c | 202.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 19c | 202$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 80c | 183.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84be…d79dbacked Yes | 20c | 81.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 20c | 78.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 76.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 79c | 62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 76c | 58.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 28c | 58.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 75c | 52.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 47.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked No | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 41.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Yes | 68c | 29.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 64c | 28.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 22.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-25?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.