Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fde4ac09a14320afa7f78ebceea1ab35965d6c437cf968a700e88c70600c038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc36e…12d8backed Over | 70c | 2,845$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 48c | 1,621$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.85 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 52c | 919.21$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.95 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 28c | 580.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 577.75$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Under | 28c | 548.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under | 20c | 519.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 45c | 486.58$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.58 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 301.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 292$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Under | 61c | 285.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 47c | 242.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 33c | 181.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 33c | 164.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…2ccabacked Under | 54c | 139.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 29c | 138.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 114.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 29c | 105.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 28c | 68.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 29c | 68.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43e1…c7d6backed Over | 66c | 61.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 58.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 33c | 57.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked Under | 55c | 54.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 42c | 49.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 51c | 37.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 55c | 21.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Team to Take First CornerCanada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.