Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49639b9f0e3fd4b7a9ef4dc6b419a1603636570da457a32efebe1ffc793d7556
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc36e…12d8backed Under | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea8…9469backed Over | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 611.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0f…8f06backed Over | 70c | 281.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 260.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 70c | 210.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Under | 34c | 145.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f4…6137backed Over | 69c | 144.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 137.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Under | 31c | 130.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 31c | 130.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 24c | 100.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…0c6fbacked Over | 65c | 97.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 30c | 85.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…1a31backed Over | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…c945backed Under | 32c | 61.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…f019backed Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 68c | 55.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…febbbacked Under | 39c | 51.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…a284backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Over | 68c | 47.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Under | 35c | 43.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…4831backed Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…09c9backed Over | 68c | 35.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 61c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Over | 68c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 215 | 57.7%124 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…2fe5backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…edecbacked Over | 70c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…8fd8backed Over | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…7245backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Over | 70c | 21.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…337fbacked Over | 69c | 20.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Team to Take First CornerCanada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.