Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11afb4c4ba356bcb002e4b1da3d8af073471c9baa1c6a043353bf67383c8d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e9…811dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 21c | 2,813$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Barcelona | 79c | 2,091$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.02 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Barcelona | 79c | 1,230$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Barcelona | 79c | 905.01$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Barcelona | 79c | 903.05$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 20c | 651.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 21c | 585.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 28c | 561.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 8c | 371.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 18c | 336.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed FC Bayern Munchen | 19c | 312.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FC Bayern Munchen | 11c | 272$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed FC Bayern Munchen | 20c | 254.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Barcelona | 71c | 254.08$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Barcelona | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Barcelona | 79c | 234.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed FC Bayern Munchen | 22c | 216.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Barcelona | 71c | 169.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 9c | 165.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…6165backed Barcelona | 74c | 154.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern Munchen | 23c | 134.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Barcelona | 80c | 119.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 110.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FC Bayern Munchen | 23c | 106.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Barcelona | 73c | 99.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed FC Bayern Munchen | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Barcelona | 79c | 88.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 23c | 81.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed FC Bayern Munchen | 21c | 79.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Barcelona | 75c | 57.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Barcelona | 73c | 52.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Barcelona | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Barcelona | 79c | 49.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed FC Bayern Munchen | 22c | 48.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Barcelona | 73c | 41.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Barcelona | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Barcelona | 79c | 29.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Barcelona | 73c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Barcelona | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…f8b9backed Barcelona | 79c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.