Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bolivia vs. Scotland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f8542c5616848299d6827a26e9f96fc7ef51317d7cea32a9e511fdddf6074f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc845…d188backed Yes | 22c | 2,556$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 1c | 2,311$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 1,638$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,533$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 3c | 1,518$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,138$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 386.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 15c | 305.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 277.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 20c | 245.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 80c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 59.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 24.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bolivia vs. Scotland end in a draw?this page
- Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.