Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e3f2ada0f93e8fe6d8afd3d4d09b23b15741e4402238f8f551204a943e07f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 50,980$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…f90bbacked No | 44c | 8,597$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…be06backed Yes | 56c | 8,597$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc845…d188backed Yes | 16c | 4,784$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 3,150$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.49 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.25per pick | 27cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.85 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 8c | 1,933$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…1276backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 16c | 640.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 16c | 618.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 14c | 523.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 4c | 446.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 4c | 413.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Yes | 6c | 336.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 260.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes | 12c | 199.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 7c | 167.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…63a1backed Yes | 12c | 136.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 15c | 120.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…7da2backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 14c | 104.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 13c | 100.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 16c | 92.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 18c | 78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 13c | 77.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Bolivia vs. Scotland end in a draw?No won
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.