NHL · resolved market
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ba129cddb6377c6a36f13ba7a1abd2f8a7d9624c04f1f54b0bf369143764c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Henderson Silver Knights, Coachella Valley Firebirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights | 44c | 5,532$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.21 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 1,355$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.29 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 956.05$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.75 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 547.3$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 410.06$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.64 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 190$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 134.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 58c | 133$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 118.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 109.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 94.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 89.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Henderson Silver Knights | 43c | 66.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 59.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Henderson Silver Knights | 44c | 37.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Henderson Silver Knights | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.