MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4a8151e10d435c2f8e521f0a4872d50d231f4201558c64ad53feec2c370fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Detroit Tigers, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 3,348$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,468$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.83 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,224$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.95 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,168$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.42 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,061$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 642.19$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.64 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 619.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 586.75$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 550.38$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 479.22$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Detroit Tigers | 20c | 462.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 459.41$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.74 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 345$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Atlanta Braves | 79c | 240$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 239.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 227.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 182.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 157$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 146.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 135.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 128.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 113.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Detroit Tigers | 22c | 109.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 102$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Detroit Tigers | 22c | 88.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 71.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 50.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Detroit Tigers | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 47.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 46.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 45.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 37.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 27.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 25.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…871abacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 18.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.