MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d3e3704ecf9951744370c6494915963507f029acaac9ae68e75263e190306a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 53c | 7,341$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.05 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,436$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.77 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 2,291$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.38 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 1,479$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.17 | 1,305 | 50.2%655 W · 650 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 28c | 1,041$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 6c | 853.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 2,549 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,381 L | -75.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 705.83$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 46c | 623.63$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.87 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 47c | 566.04$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 478$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 361.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 60c | 233$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 231.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 48c | 218.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 62c | 176$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 45c | 163.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 4,107 | 57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L | +65.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 53c | 102.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 99.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 54c | 91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 80.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 71.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 50c | 55.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,376 | 54.3%747 W · 629 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 54c | 47.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 850 | 40.2%342 W · 508 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 47.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…5e87backed Over | 48c | 42.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,734 | 50.4%874 W · 860 L | +57.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6bc6backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 21.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…2c8ebacked Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 53c | 19.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.