NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcd6b92c46f8b70514168cb22e2baa023e93d0f181a9087c1214fff1e5589a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Blue Jackets | 58c | 2,380$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Hurricanes | 42c | 1,838$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.32 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blue Jackets | 58c | 1,541$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.4 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Hurricanes | 42c | 1,350$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.25 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 455.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hurricanes | 43c | 321.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.22 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hurricanes | 44c | 247.32$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 225.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 198.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets | 43c | 192.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes | 57c | 192.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Hurricanes | 43c | 166.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hurricanes | 42c | 160.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Blue Jackets | 57c | 155.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 137.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Hurricanes | 59c | 127.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 103.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…7799backed Hurricanes | 42c | 103.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 84.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Hurricanes | 42c | 78.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…7ef7backed Blue Jackets | 20c | 68.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blue Jackets | 58c | 58.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Hurricanes | 40c | 45.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Blue Jackets | 60c | 41.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 41.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jackets | 57c | 37.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 34.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Hurricanes | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Blue Jackets | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…bd4dbacked Hurricanes | 42c | 28.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Blue Jackets | 60c | 26.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 25.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 23.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Blue Jackets | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.