NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066eefc8422e8563314bd68a69b7b79b8e33fff5043e8d63b4d0aa0fe018f19f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 50c | 4,673$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 3,012$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 1c | 2,901$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 51c | 999.55$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 984.14$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 884.22$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.63 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 528.68$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.17 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 51c | 358.53$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 336$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 50c | 302.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 236.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 58c | 228$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…05e6backed Over | 48c | 210.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…545dbacked Under | 52c | 210.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…d63abacked Over | 48c | 206.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…1275backed Under | 52c | 204$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d3…193abacked Over | 48c | 203.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3579…eab7backed Under | 52c | 203$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…d3acbacked Under | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…1b23backed Under | 52c | 196$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…3a29backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…4479backed Over | 48c | 194.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…0659backed Over | 48c | 194.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43e…f682backed Over | 48c | 192.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…3285backed Over | 48c | 191$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…33f4backed Under | 52c | 191$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…9d20backed Over | 48c | 189.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…bbfcbacked Over | 48c | 187.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…76f4backed Under | 52c | 187$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…e847backed Under | 52c | 186$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118e…8a85backed Under | 52c | 186$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…fd2bbacked Over | 48c | 185.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 164.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 128.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 82.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 82.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Over | 51c | 67.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 50c | 61.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…6bc4backed Over | 51c | 61.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 53.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 51c | 48.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 52c | 48.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 45.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Under | 30c | 45.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 50c | 34.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43aa…ab59backed Under | 51c | 26.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…4a16backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 50c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…f5a3backed Over | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb863…f6b4backed Over | 49c | 22.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b44…8fc2backed Over | 49c | 20.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…4ae5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…64afbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.