MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f63a238313f4bcd66ccc2c972b63b81400662e9ec8bfbde0e790d361ea3e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 49c | 20,013$9,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,737.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.05 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Athletics | 51c | 5,298$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.78 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 4,555$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.75 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 3,381$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.06 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 2,797$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,980$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.4 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 52c | 1,369$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 1,015$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 1,005$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Athletics | 53c | 943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 910$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.8 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 546.43$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Athletics | 46c | 508.07$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 55c | 488.01$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 444.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.17 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 407.79$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 304.47$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 251.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 232$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 231.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Athletics | 52c | 230.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 52c | 202.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 192$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Athletics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 163$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Athletics | 59c | 153.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 153.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 151.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 119$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Athletics | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 106$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Athletics | 52c | 105.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Athletics | 52c | 105.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Athletics | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 43c | 94.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Athletics | 33c | 92.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Athletics | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 75.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 55c | 74.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 72.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Athletics | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 62.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics | 55c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…df77backed Athletics | 57c | 52.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 48.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 45.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 45.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Athletics | 54c | 43.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 43.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 41.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Athletics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Athletics | 53c | 34.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Athletics | 53c | 31.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Athletics | 50c | 25.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Athletics | 46c | 24.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Athletics | 48c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…1dcdbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 21.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 18.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 17.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.