NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158b47b4d7a3159762568f850bab951f18f429f3539e9a0d07102cfc56053fa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Bruins | 38c | 20,202$7,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,448.11 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 61c | 9,905$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042.32 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Flyers | 63c | 2,600$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flyers | 63c | 2,160$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers | 63c | 2,127$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Flyers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bruins | 37c | 1,807$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.55 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Flyers | 63c | 1,286$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.18 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.98 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…0c8fbacked Bruins | 37c | 860$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bruins | 37c | 800.42$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.68 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Flyers | 62c | 638.83$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.34 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flyers | 63c | 499.97$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flyers | 61c | 452.62$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.1 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Flyers | 63c | 425$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Flyers | 61c | 409$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Flyers | 66c | 364.85$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Flyers | 63c | 282.66$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Flyers | 61c | 276.69$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Flyers | 63c | 270.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers | 63c | 263$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Bruins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Flyers | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers | 60c | 185.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Flyers | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins | 35c | 122.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…19bcbacked Bruins | 42c | 117.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Bruins | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Flyers | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Flyers | 62c | 72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Flyers | 63c | 69.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…9bbabacked Bruins | 38c | 62.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Bruins | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Bruins | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bruins | 38c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Flyers | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Flyers | 64c | 49.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Flyers | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 60c | 45.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Bruins | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Bruins | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Flyers | 63c | 38.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Flyers | 62c | 38.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Flyers | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…31d3backed Flyers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Flyers | 53c | 32.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Flyers | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Flyers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…aefcbacked Flyers | 62c | 31.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Flyers | 64c | 31.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bruins | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Flyers | 61c | 24.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Flyers | 63c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flyers | 62c | 19.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Flyers | 63c | 19.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Flyers vs. BruinsBruins won
- Flyers vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.