Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x186427a0a85cf02470be1d901c4c83bd614340d6665eca1df732ef6b17ff9743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 7,033$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.27 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 73c | 2,998$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.63 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,563$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,518$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 10c | 2,083$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 1,372$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.15 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 30c | 1,262$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.29 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 1,183$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.89 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 40c | 1,103$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.71 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 1,019$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.78 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Yes | 40c | 650.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 61c | 512.29$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 55c | 486.75$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.72 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Yes | 75c | 479.04$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…d537backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 38c | 357.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.55 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked No | 11c | 282.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes | 43c | 280.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 40c | 267.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…f595backed Yes | 75c | 266.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 26c | 250$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 43c | 242.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 76c | 241.29$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 61c | 215.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 184.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 60c | 182.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 74c | 172.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked No | 10c | 172.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 61c | 156$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 137.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 136.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 41c | 135.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 38c | 132$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 45c | 117.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 93.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 89.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 82.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 80.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed No | 24c | 67.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 43c | 66.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 58c | 59.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 64c | 58.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 40c | 44.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 74c | 43.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 61c | 43.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 63c | 41.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…b976backed No | 48c | 41.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8211…6f97backed No | 63c | 30.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 79c | 27.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…5be4backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…6bcfbacked No | 64c | 23.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 65c | 16.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.