Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda565bb8fdfbe6625275c83ec939b9807e2094db30253f6f8d4dc8dfbe64160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,582$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.18 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 71c | 1,555$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 902.58$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…c167backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 23c | 614.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 33c | 454.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 29c | 299.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…cb3fbacked Yes | 35c | 267.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 251.93$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 24c | 177.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 151.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 114.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 73.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Yes | 28c | 53.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 33.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 33.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?No won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.