Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6c4be210faac36500bbaba03b8b6c1dbcdd9fa2738de1ba942656f19ced1c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 71c | 1,988$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.52 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 71c | 1,478$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.51 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,106$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,040$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 998.41$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.62 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 991$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 823.84$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.79 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 690.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 487.05$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 71c | 474.55$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 444.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 36c | 412.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 29c | 360.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 353.72$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 244.02$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed No | 79c | 162.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 33c | 98.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 24c | 84.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 74.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b53…a717backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 74c | 64.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 23c | 45.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 72c | 41.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.