Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f2b1933610fc2fbbc0c6c9b7333d9999009a9d18701ae7505b0a461cb4fe95e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 12c | 60,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 69c | 8,043$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.33 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.98 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 3,836$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.89 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 2,635$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 68c | 1,826$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 1,167$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.89 | 867 | 48.7%422 W · 445 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 1,125$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.9 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 43c | 825.86$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.43 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 651.55$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 648.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.28 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 40c | 622.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Yes | 43c | 494.38$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 71c | 422.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 31c | 421.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 342$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.13 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 69c | 234.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 28c | 146.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 30c | 140.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 42c | 138$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 43c | 133$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 56c | 124.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed No | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 16c | 106.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 67c | 96.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…223cbacked No | 59c | 94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 56c | 93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 45c | 61.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed No | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked No | 49c | 49.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 57c | 49.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…5713backed Yes | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…5dc7backed No | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…51d9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…e5bbbacked Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 355 | 34.6%123 W · 232 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 55c | 43.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 55c | 40.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked No | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked No | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 290 | 50.7%147 W · 143 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 43c | 34.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed No | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked No | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…586cbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed No | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 70c | 14.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-29?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.